@UNPUBLISHED{Gaubert-Itskhoki_NBERWP_2018, author = {Cecile Gaubert and Oleg Itskhoki}, title = {Granular Comparative Advantage}, year = {2018}, month = {July}, note = {NBER Working Papers No.~24807}, url = {\url{https://www.nber.org/papers/w24807}}, abstract={Large firms play a pivotal role in international trade, shaping the export patterns of countries. We propose and quantify a granular multi-sector model of trade, which combines fundamental comparative advantage across sectors with granular comparative advantage embodied in outstanding individual firms. We develop an SMM-based estimation procedure, which takes full account of the general equilibrium of the model, to jointly estimate these fundamental and granular forces using French micro-data with information on firm domestic and export sales across manufacturing industries. We find that granularity accounts for about 20\% of the variation in realized export intensity across sectors, and is more pronounced in the most export-intensive sectors. In turn, idiosyncratic firm dynamics accounts for a large share of the evolution of a country's comparative advantage over time. Governments face strong incentives to target trade policy at large individual foreign exporters, and to use lenient antitrust regulation at home to substitute for beggar-thy-neighbor trade policy.}, doi={10.3386/w24807} }